PhD Tested

The Face Off : Wheat Trade

Basic strategy: Enter on breakout above signal

Traditional

(Breaking above interim high of W bottom)

VantagePoint

(Predicted Moving Average Crossover)

  • Buy breakout at $5.73 a bushel above interim high of potential W formation
  • Protective sell stop placement subjective
  • Sell stop at logical point below lows entails huge risk
  • Late entry loses out on good share of profits from uptrend
  • Buy around $5.20 a bushel on open a day after predicted medium-term EMA (blue line) crossover
  • Catch longer-term reversal early before W bottom fully confirmed
  • Once in position, stick with predicted medium-term EMA trend to accrue profits
  • Pick up more than $2,500 profit before W bottom “officially” in place


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